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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2024-12-20T23:23:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2024-12-20T23:23Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/35805/-1
CME Note: CME visible to the NNE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The source is likely an eruption centered around N20E10 starting around 2024-12-20T21:27Z with dimming observed in GOES SUVI 195. Post-eruptive arcades are seen in SDO AIA 284/304.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-12-24T00:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note: 
Met Office ENLIL settings.
ENLIL version: 2.7
Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)
Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1
WSA version: 4.5
GONG: mrzqs
Note that this arrival time forecast is based on the simulation but is then adjusted by a human-in-the-loop.

Please specify following CME input parameters.
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 
Radial velocity (km/s): 
Longitude (deg): 
Latitude (deg): 
Half-angular width (deg): 

Notes: 
Space weather advisor:
Lead Time: 41.50 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2024-12-22T06:30Z
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If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

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